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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+7.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+6.47vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.74vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.60+2.41vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.21+5.96vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.64vs Predicted
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7Santa Barbara City College2.32-2.75vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.95vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.88-0.21vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.17+2.07vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.52-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-5.65vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.96-7.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-3.58vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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10.96Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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4.25Santa Barbara City College2.320.2%1st Place
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6.05University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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8.79Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.07Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.04Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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10.42University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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5.71California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Theodore Bascom | 17.9% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Levy | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Lena Captain | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 34.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.