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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+7.56vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+6.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.92+5.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.39+6.39vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52+5.06vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-0.27vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.60-0.66vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.21+2.99vs Predicted
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9Santa Barbara City College2.32-4.84vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74-3.93vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.96-5.63vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-6.63vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.17-3.02vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University0.88-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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10.06Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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5.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.34Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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10.99Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.16Santa Barbara City College2.320.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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8.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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11.98Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.8Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 10.7% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| Theodore Bascom | 18.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Dylan Finestone | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lena Captain | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 32.7% |
| Michael Levy | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.