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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.44+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+2.51vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.95-1.28vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.27-1.30vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.84-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.50-1.01vs Predicted
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9Iowa State University-0.42-2.22vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.52-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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5.49University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
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2.72Northwestern University1.950.3%1st Place
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3.7Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.51Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Illinois-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.78Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.96Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 36.7% | 25.5% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 4.1% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Michael Stone | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 6.5% |
| Mark Davies | 25.1% | 26.7% | 20.5% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 14.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| William Norris | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 28.9% |
| August Nagro | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 25.5% |
| Zachary Li | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.