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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.34vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.95-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.44+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34+0.44vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.52+0.86vs Predicted
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7Iowa State University-0.42-0.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.84-3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-0.50-2.05vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.27-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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2.82Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
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6.86Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.83Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.6Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Illinois-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.8Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 35.6% | 26.6% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 23.9% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| Michael Stone | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Zachary Li | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 29.4% |
| August Nagro | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 25.8% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 10.0% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| William Norris | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 30.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 13.3% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.