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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+1.81vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-0.05vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.79+1.83vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+1.67vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85+1.72vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93-0.70vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.17-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.81vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.54-0.34vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.36-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.26-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77U. S. Naval Academy1.7952.6%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy0.3210.8%1st Place
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2.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8618.4%1st Place
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5.83Washington College-0.793.9%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University-0.972.4%1st Place
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7.72Catholic University of America-1.851.8%1st Place
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6.3Unknown School-0.933.4%1st Place
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7.06Drexel University-1.171.8%1st Place
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8.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.7%1st Place
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9.66Syracuse University-2.540.8%1st Place
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10.95St. John's College-3.360.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Delaware-1.262.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 52.6% | 27.4% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.8% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 18.4% | 27.0% | 23.3% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| John TIS | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 6.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 29.3% | 22.5% |
| August Bellanca | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 61.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.