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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.08+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.44+2.35vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34+0.37vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.84-1.48vs Predicted
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7Iowa State University-0.42-0.16vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.52-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-0.50-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Northwestern University1.950.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Wisconsin2.080.3%1st Place
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5.35University of Wisconsin0.440.1%1st Place
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3.69Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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4.52Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.84Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.97Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Illinois-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 29.0% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 28.2% | 26.6% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cailin Considine | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Jacob Bruce | 14.2% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Michael Stone | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| August Nagro | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 24.3% |
| Zachary Li | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 30.4% |
| William Norris | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.