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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.31+2.05vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.08-0.63vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.96+0.26vs Predicted
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6Iowa State University-0.52-1.62vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.88-1.85vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.63-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.97Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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5.26Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.38Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.15Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.28Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.7% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Soren Hughes | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 15.6% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Michael Valverde | 19.7% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Cuyler Dull | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| Stefan Peterson | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| Owen Bradley | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.