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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.31+2.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.08-0.61vs Predicted
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5Iowa State University-0.52-0.54vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.73-2.17vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.96-2.67vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.63-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.0Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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4.46Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.83Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.33Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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6.33Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Soren Hughes | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 15.4% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 20.0% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Stefan Peterson | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| Brian Fogarty | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% |
| Cuyler Dull | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| Owen Bradley | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.