← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota0.08+2.26vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-0.29+1.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin-0.31+1.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.96+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-1.63+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Iowa State University-0.52-2.53vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-0.88-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
-
3.97Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
4.07University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.66University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
-
5.25Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
-
6.34Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
-
4.47Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
-
4.98Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 22.3% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 14.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Soren Hughes | 14.4% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.0% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Cuyler Dull | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 16.5% |
| Owen Bradley | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 44.8% |
| Stefan Peterson | 12.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.