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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.81vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+3.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.32+0.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-1.09vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.93+1.22vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.97+0.74vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85+0.70vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.17-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.72vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.54-0.32vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.36-0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.26-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81U. S. Naval Academy1.7951.8%1st Place
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5.88Washington College-0.793.9%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.0%1st Place
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2.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8618.1%1st Place
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6.22Unknown School-0.933.2%1st Place
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6.74Princeton University-0.973.0%1st Place
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7.7Catholic University of America-1.851.9%1st Place
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7.02Drexel University-1.172.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.2%1st Place
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9.68Syracuse University-2.540.4%1st Place
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10.83St. John's College-3.360.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Delaware-1.262.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 51.8% | 26.9% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.0% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 18.1% | 27.5% | 24.2% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| John TIS | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 7.2% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 28.7% | 23.4% |
| August Bellanca | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 58.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.