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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.83+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+7.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.57+9.95vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+5.48vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.51+3.38vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.26+3.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine3.43-2.39vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.46+4.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles2.57-1.93vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+1.38vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.02+3.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.69-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-8.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.81vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.24-2.68vs Predicted
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20University of Washington0.63-2.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis1.12-5.42vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.64-4.94vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.15-4.16vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.50-6.61vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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4.78Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.95University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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10.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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10.38Stanford University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.21University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Los Angeles2.570.1%1st Place
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13.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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16.55Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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16.19University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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15.32Western Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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17.61University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Davis1.120.0%1st Place
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18.06University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
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19.84University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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18.39California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Peterson | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Scott Doyle | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Hughes | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Matt Marquardt | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Molly Utter | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% |
| William Van Trigt | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% |
| Christina Wilson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 29.7% |
| Christina Stege | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.1% |
| Connor Bescos | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.