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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.08+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.68vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+1.04vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-0.52+0.50vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.96+0.31vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.73-1.20vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.63-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.31-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.04Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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4.5Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.31Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.8Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.43Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin-0.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 21.1% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Stefan Peterson | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Cuyler Dull | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 16.8% |
| Brian Fogarty | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| Owen Bradley | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 47.0% |
| Soren Hughes | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.