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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.08+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.31+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.65vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.29+0.04vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.96+0.31vs Predicted
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6Iowa State University-0.52-1.58vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.73-2.11vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.63-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.04Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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5.31Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.42Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.89Northwestern University-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.35Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 22.0% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Soren Hughes | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Cuyler Dull | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| Stefan Peterson | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Brian Fogarty | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| Owen Bradley | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.