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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.29+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.08+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.61vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-0.52+0.42vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.96+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.31-2.00vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.88-1.84vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.63-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Minnesota0.080.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.42Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.27Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.16Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.29Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Tokowitz | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Michael Valverde | 21.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.3% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Stefan Peterson | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% |
| Cuyler Dull | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| Soren Hughes | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Jennie Werner | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| Owen Bradley | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.