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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.33+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.48-0.25vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-2.18-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Tufts University1.330.6%1st Place
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2.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.2%1st Place
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2.75University of Connecticut-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.76Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 63.3% | 29.2% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 25.0% | 48.6% | 24.2% | 2.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 10.8% | 18.1% | 56.2% | 14.9% |
| Luke Haggerty | 0.9% | 4.1% | 12.9% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.