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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+2.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.79-0.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.32+0.98vs Predicted
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4St. John's College-0.86+2.62vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.79+1.39vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93+1.20vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93-0.35vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.54+2.18vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.09vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.97-3.80vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.26-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8620.5%1st Place
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1.88U. S. Naval Academy1.7948.6%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy0.3210.3%1st Place
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6.62St. John's College-0.863.1%1st Place
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6.39Washington College-0.793.4%1st Place
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7.2Drexel University-0.932.7%1st Place
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6.65Unknown School-0.932.9%1st Place
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10.18Syracuse University-2.540.5%1st Place
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8.27Catholic University of America-1.851.7%1st Place
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8.91University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.1%1st Place
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7.2Princeton University-0.973.2%1st Place
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7.69University of Delaware-1.261.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 20.5% | 24.8% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 48.6% | 28.0% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.3% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Silas Hodges | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 47.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| John TIS | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.