Race 1A

leroy-grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Vidar Minkovsky 20.8% 17.3% 17.3% 14.9% 9.4% 7.8% 5.4% 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Paper 15.3% 17.1% 12.0% 13.9% 13.3% 9.3% 7.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 15.3% 12.2% 16.0% 10.3% 12.9% 9.9% 11.4% 5.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Smith 6.7% 8.6% 10.6% 11.3% 9.2% 10.8% 10.5% 12.4% 7.8% 7.8% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 8.9% 10.8% 10.5% 10.9% 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 10.2% 6.1% 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 10.6% 10.5% 12.7% 10.1% 10.0% 10.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 8.9% 10.0% 9.4% 9.1% 10.0% 11.7% 12.1% 9.3% 9.3% 6.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.6% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 6.4% 8.7% 10.9% 11.7% 18.4% 13.0% 8.2% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 8.9% 10.8% 10.5% 10.9% 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 10.2% 6.1% 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 2.7% 2.0% 3.1% 4.4% 6.6% 11.2% 23.1% 43.1% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.4% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 5.2% 10.6% 10.6% 25.5% 31.9% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 5.0% 4.1% 6.1% 6.6% 9.1% 13.4% 18.1% 18.4% 11.9% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 5.3% 5.4% 5.6% 6.2% 8.0% 9.6% 10.3% 12.6% 14.3% 12.7% 8.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.