← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University1.65+4.81vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.55vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech1.79+2.42vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech1.79+1.42vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.75+3.00vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University2.21-1.56vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University1.18-0.01vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University0.55+0.34vs Predicted
-
9Washington College1.63-3.29vs Predicted
-
10Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-4.69vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University-0.16-1.22vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-8.79vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute-0.47-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.81Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.55SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
-
5.42Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
-
5.42Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
-
8.0Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.44Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.99Queen's University1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.34Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
-
5.71Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
-
5.31Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
9.78Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
-
10.45Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DeVita | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 20.5% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 26.3% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 15.2% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 23.3% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.