Race 3A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Paper 15.9% 14.3% 14.1% 13.3% 13.1% 10.2% 8.9% 4.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 8.2% 11.0% 10.6% 11.2% 10.6% 12.4% 9.3% 10.9% 8.0% 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 9.5% 9.6% 10.1% 10.6% 11.0% 9.8% 11.4% 11.6% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 8.2% 11.0% 10.6% 11.2% 10.6% 12.4% 9.3% 10.9% 8.0% 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 6.5% 8.4% 11.0% 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 12.4% 12.4% 7.7% 6.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 4.6% 6.4% 6.5% 5.6% 8.1% 10.1% 11.2% 11.1% 13.7% 12.3% 7.9% 2.5% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 7.0% 8.7% 13.3% 19.0% 18.4% 9.6% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 7.6% 7.7% 9.1% 10.2% 10.4% 8.8% 11.1% 12.8% 10.4% 7.5% 2.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.9% 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 9.0% 10.8% 13.6% 15.4% 15.8% 5.9% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 24.3% 19.8% 13.9% 12.3% 11.9% 8.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 14.3% 13.5% 14.6% 12.3% 11.0% 12.6% 9.1% 5.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.6% 0.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 5.7% 11.5% 21.5% 46.2% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 1.9% 3.6% 5.3% 8.7% 13.3% 25.6% 32.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.