Race 4A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Austin Powers 14.2% 13.8% 12.7% 14.1% 12.5% 10.6% 8.0% 6.7% 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 9.0% 10.8% 10.6% 11.5% 11.1% 10.3% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 9.0% 10.8% 10.6% 11.5% 11.1% 10.3% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 3.5% 2.6% 4.0% 3.5% 6.5% 5.1% 6.4% 7.8% 14.9% 16.6% 20.1% 9.0% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 3.7% 5.0% 6.9% 9.1% 7.0% 8.4% 11.7% 11.5% 13.3% 12.2% 8.5% 2.7% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 10.2% 11.2% 10.4% 10.7% 11.4% 9.5% 8.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 8.8% 10.4% 9.4% 11.0% 9.2% 12.0% 13.3% 10.6% 7.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 21.8% 19.3% 15.8% 13.2% 9.4% 8.6% 6.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Paper 17.7% 16.5% 13.5% 11.2% 11.6% 10.8% 7.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 4.1% 7.0% 7.7% 9.4% 11.9% 14.3% 17.0% 11.9% 6.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 8.7% 8.2% 10.7% 9.5% 11.5% 10.9% 11.7% 11.1% 7.5% 6.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 2.7% 1.8% 4.4% 5.9% 10.3% 22.6% 46.8% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 6.4% 8.8% 14.2% 24.0% 32.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.