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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+1.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+0.06vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+3.27vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.93+1.80vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93+1.24vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-0.86-0.39vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.79-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.22vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.54+0.20vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-1.85-2.78vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.26-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9U. S. Naval Academy1.7948.5%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy0.3210.7%1st Place
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8619.6%1st Place
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7.27Princeton University-0.972.3%1st Place
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6.8Unknown School-0.932.8%1st Place
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7.24Drexel University-0.932.3%1st Place
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6.61St. John's College-0.863.7%1st Place
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6.27Washington College-0.793.8%1st Place
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8.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.6%1st Place
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10.2Syracuse University-2.540.5%1st Place
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8.22Catholic University of America-1.851.8%1st Place
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7.67University of Delaware-1.262.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 48.5% | 27.5% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.7% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 19.6% | 23.1% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Silas Hodges | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| John TIS | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 49.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.