Race 5A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Austin Powers 15.0% 12.8% 13.9% 13.1% 12.4% 11.8% 7.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 8.3% 10.4% 11.9% 10.6% 10.3% 11.2% 10.8% 11.8% 8.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Paper 15.9% 16.0% 14.3% 12.8% 13.0% 9.4% 8.9% 4.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.0% 2.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 7.6% 9.1% 9.9% 14.5% 17.5% 13.4% 7.2% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 8.7% 10.8% 11.0% 10.4% 9.8% 10.6% 10.6% 11.7% 7.7% 5.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 9.0% 7.5% 9.1% 10.3% 10.2% 10.9% 12.2% 12.7% 8.4% 6.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 8.3% 10.4% 11.9% 10.6% 10.3% 11.2% 10.8% 11.8% 8.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 7.2% 8.3% 9.0% 10.5% 8.9% 9.2% 11.5% 11.4% 11.4% 6.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 9.2% 13.8% 24.4% 29.7% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 22.6% 20.6% 14.8% 12.1% 11.6% 8.2% 5.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 6.0% 6.0% 5.4% 7.6% 7.3% 9.8% 11.3% 11.0% 13.4% 11.9% 7.6% 2.7% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 4.0% 6.1% 5.8% 6.1% 9.8% 11.8% 18.1% 20.9% 10.3% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 2.5% 6.7% 11.7% 20.6% 46.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.