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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.79+4.44vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+2.36vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.79+2.44vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.49vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.75+3.00vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.50vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.92vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-3.04vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.36vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.55-2.64vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.18-5.17vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-3.10vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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4.36Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.44Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.51SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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8.0Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.5Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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5.96Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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5.64Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.36Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.83Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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9.9Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.41Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Bay | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 12.7% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 20.4% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 17.7% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 25.7% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 22.5% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.