Race 7A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Vidar Minkovsky 27.5% 22.2% 18.9% 13.5% 8.7% 4.9% 2.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.9% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 11.6% 13.6% 21.9% 19.9% 5.0% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 9.8% 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 11.9% 14.8% 13.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 8.9% 12.9% 13.0% 14.3% 14.2% 11.8% 10.3% 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 20.3% 19.4% 15.0% 14.5% 11.2% 8.7% 5.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 7.9% 11.2% 13.2% 15.1% 14.4% 10.8% 5.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 13.7% 12.0% 16.1% 12.0% 13.3% 11.3% 9.8% 5.4% 4.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 3.5% 5.1% 4.7% 6.4% 6.8% 8.9% 12.1% 15.2% 15.4% 14.0% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 6.4% 7.6% 8.0% 12.0% 13.9% 12.7% 14.6% 11.2% 8.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.9% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 11.6% 13.6% 21.9% 19.9% 5.0% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.0% 1.3% 3.6% 2.1% 2.4% 4.4% 4.2% 8.8% 12.7% 18.1% 31.3% 10.1% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 6.6% 10.4% 15.8% 19.9% 23.2% 7.5% 0.0%
Kira Allen 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.7% 5.1% 11.6% 75.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.