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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+3.53vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18+3.83vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.75+3.75vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65+0.77vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.63-0.21vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21-2.40vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06+1.44vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.16+0.67vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.55-2.87vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-2.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland-2.04-1.68vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook2.59-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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5.83Queen's University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.75Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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4.77Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.79Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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3.6Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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8.44Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.67Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.44Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.13Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.23Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland-2.040.0%1st Place
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2.92SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Roleke | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 18.9% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 22.5% | 23.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 29.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Kira Allen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 74.5% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 29.9% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.