Race 9A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bryan Bay 10.9% 10.9% 11.2% 13.1% 14.3% 12.0% 11.1% 7.5% 6.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 23.4% 22.1% 16.8% 13.8% 9.5% 7.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Smith 10.2% 9.2% 12.4% 10.3% 11.2% 12.7% 12.0% 11.0% 7.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 15.5% 19.2% 15.1% 13.7% 11.7% 10.6% 6.2% 5.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 6.6% 7.5% 8.7% 11.2% 13.7% 14.0% 15.9% 8.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 10.9% 10.9% 11.2% 13.1% 14.3% 12.0% 11.1% 7.5% 6.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 11.3% 11.3% 11.5% 14.0% 11.5% 12.1% 10.4% 9.0% 5.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 10.7% 9.7% 12.5% 11.3% 12.3% 11.6% 11.5% 10.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 7.4% 7.1% 7.3% 7.7% 10.6% 10.1% 11.7% 12.9% 13.3% 8.2% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 4.5% 6.0% 9.3% 14.2% 25.0% 25.9% 5.3% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 3.6% 3.6% 5.2% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 10.0% 12.4% 18.4% 16.7% 10.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 2.1% 4.6% 5.8% 9.8% 18.6% 37.7% 13.3% 0.0%
Kira Allen 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.6% 4.1% 10.8% 77.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.