Race 10A

leroy-grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bryan Bay 10.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.2% 13.7% 11.9% 11.9% 7.5% 6.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 10.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.2% 13.7% 11.9% 11.9% 7.5% 6.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.9% 7.0% 9.5% 9.8% 13.5% 18.6% 14.7% 7.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 7.4% 5.3% 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 12.1% 12.4% 14.6% 12.8% 7.9% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Smith 8.6% 9.1% 12.1% 13.0% 11.4% 12.4% 11.1% 10.5% 7.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 16.9% 18.7% 14.6% 11.7% 12.9% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 24.7% 21.9% 16.2% 13.7% 9.9% 6.5% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 5.0% 5.8% 8.9% 11.4% 23.9% 26.6% 6.8% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 5.6% 7.3% 6.7% 8.3% 12.1% 17.6% 18.0% 11.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 11.2% 12.0% 13.6% 12.0% 12.7% 12.5% 11.6% 6.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 10.1% 9.5% 11.4% 12.7% 11.1% 12.2% 11.9% 10.8% 5.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 2.2% 1.9% 4.8% 6.3% 8.8% 19.8% 37.7% 13.4% 0.0%
Kira Allen 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 4.4% 11.5% 77.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.