Race 11A

leroy-grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.0% 3.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 6.3% 8.9% 8.6% 11.1% 11.7% 15.8% 13.3% 6.2% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 9.1% 8.3% 9.8% 11.3% 11.1% 10.0% 10.2% 9.9% 8.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Smith 5.9% 8.8% 8.1% 11.1% 9.4% 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 8.3% 8.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 8.1% 9.7% 10.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.1% 9.7% 10.7% 7.9% 7.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 9.1% 8.3% 9.8% 11.3% 11.1% 10.0% 10.2% 9.9% 8.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 8.5% 8.7% 9.2% 9.4% 9.4% 8.9% 9.8% 11.9% 10.5% 5.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 21.3% 17.4% 15.9% 13.1% 10.7% 8.6% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.5% 5.3% 6.2% 8.0% 14.2% 22.5% 28.4% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 3.2% 4.1% 5.1% 5.5% 8.1% 9.9% 14.0% 15.4% 18.0% 6.8% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 8.3% 6.7% 12.1% 14.1% 13.4% 12.3% 6.2% 0.0%
Zachary Baum 6.2% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 7.9% 10.0% 10.1% 7.3% 10.3% 12.3% 9.5% 7.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Joshua Paper 15.9% 17.3% 14.1% 12.3% 11.4% 9.8% 7.4% 5.6% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 13.1% 12.4% 13.8% 11.1% 11.8% 11.3% 8.6% 7.9% 4.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 5.4% 6.4% 11.1% 18.0% 47.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.