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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.85+3.22vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+2.56vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+1.56vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.60vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.01-1.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.74vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.47-1.07vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96-5.12vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.01-0.19vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.07-1.15vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.05-2.06vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-1.06-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Queen's University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.56Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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4.56Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.6Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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3.84Washington College2.010.2%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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6.93Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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3.88Christopher Newport University1.960.2%1st Place
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9.81Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.85Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.94Princeton University-1.050.0%1st Place
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9.93Webb Institute-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Muru | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 16.1% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 22.5% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 17.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 24.2% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Young | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 25.8% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Donohue | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Gonzalez | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.