Race 2B

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Price 11.5% 10.8% 13.6% 12.6% 14.4% 13.2% 11.5% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 11.5% 10.8% 13.6% 12.6% 14.4% 13.2% 11.5% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie Ungar 21.5% 23.0% 16.1% 13.8% 10.8% 7.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 17.2% 14.8% 16.2% 13.6% 13.7% 13.0% 7.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.1% 5.4% 7.0% 9.2% 9.6% 12.6% 16.1% 17.6% 11.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.4% 8.2% 9.5% 12.9% 19.4% 17.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Vir Menon 16.4% 15.4% 15.8% 13.9% 13.1% 12.1% 6.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Colby 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.7% 7.6% 16.1% 20.0% 20.2% 23.3% 0.0%
Matti Muru 15.7% 15.5% 13.5% 13.8% 10.7% 11.3% 10.2% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 6.5% 7.5% 9.2% 12.1% 11.8% 12.3% 16.2% 14.0% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alec Gonzalez 0.4% 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 6.3% 13.1% 20.4% 24.1% 23.5% 0.0%
Stephen Young 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 2.3% 3.5% 6.0% 12.8% 19.9% 24.2% 26.4% 0.0%
Quinn Donohue 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 3.9% 5.1% 13.5% 20.0% 24.6% 25.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.