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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.31vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.85+2.18vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+1.57vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.82+0.19vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.68+1.73vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.01-2.17vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.93vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.65-3.43vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.44vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-1.05-0.13vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.01-1.22vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.07-3.04vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-1.06-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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4.18Queen's University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.57Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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4.19Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.73Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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3.83Washington College2.010.2%1st Place
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6.07SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.57Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.56Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.87Princeton University-1.050.0%1st Place
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9.78Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.96Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.96Webb Institute-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 21.8% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 12.9% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Donohue | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Young | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Gonzalez | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 23.1% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.