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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+2.07vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+4.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.79-1.08vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+3.24vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+2.27vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-0.86+0.51vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.54+3.22vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.93-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.10vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.85-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.26-3.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.32-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8619.4%1st Place
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6.27Washington College-0.794.7%1st Place
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1.92U. S. Naval Academy1.7945.7%1st Place
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7.24Drexel University-0.932.3%1st Place
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7.27Princeton University-0.972.1%1st Place
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6.51St. John's College-0.864.2%1st Place
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10.22Syracuse University-2.540.5%1st Place
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6.71Unknown School-0.933.3%1st Place
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8.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.2%1st Place
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8.21Catholic University of America-1.851.7%1st Place
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7.65University of Delaware-1.262.5%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 19.4% | 24.4% | 21.3% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Sean Trudell | 45.7% | 30.4% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Silas Hodges | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 47.8% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 17.5% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.7% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.