Race 6B

leroy-grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ellie Ungar 22.1% 18.4% 18.1% 13.6% 10.9% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 6.0% 7.6% 9.2% 10.7% 11.0% 14.2% 15.9% 14.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 4.3% 4.0% 3.7% 6.8% 7.5% 9.1% 12.7% 21.1% 16.6% 9.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Vir Menon 14.2% 16.0% 16.1% 15.2% 12.9% 10.5% 8.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matti Muru 13.9% 15.2% 14.5% 13.6% 14.6% 12.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 16.1% 16.4% 16.0% 14.1% 12.9% 10.7% 8.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 6.6% 6.2% 6.6% 8.9% 9.1% 11.9% 15.8% 17.7% 9.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 13.8% 12.6% 12.5% 11.4% 14.7% 12.6% 11.3% 6.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 13.8% 12.6% 12.5% 11.4% 14.7% 12.6% 11.3% 6.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Donohue 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.7% 4.2% 6.5% 14.5% 20.5% 24.3% 22.7% 0.0%
John Colby 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 5.9% 13.8% 20.6% 25.1% 21.4% 0.0%
Alec Gonzalez 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 3.5% 6.6% 14.0% 20.5% 21.5% 27.1% 0.0%
Stephen Young 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 3.6% 5.9% 13.9% 19.2% 22.6% 27.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.