← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech1.65+3.60vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.82+2.15vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.85+1.14vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.77vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech1.65-0.40vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.40vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.01-4.27vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University0.47-2.05vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-1.07-0.12vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-1.05-1.19vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute-1.06-2.05vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.01-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.6Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.15Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
-
4.14Queen's University1.850.1%1st Place
-
3.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
-
4.6Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
5.6Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
6.13SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
3.73Washington College2.010.2%1st Place
-
6.95Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
-
9.88Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.81Princeton University-1.050.0%1st Place
-
9.95Webb Institute-1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.84Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 14.8% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 22.0% | 22.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 19.3% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Young | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 24.6% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Donohue | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 13.7% | 20.7% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Gonzalez | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 21.5% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.