Race 10B

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew McDermaid 16.5% 14.9% 15.8% 15.0% 14.1% 9.7% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 10.4% 13.7% 13.7% 12.9% 13.2% 11.9% 13.0% 7.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie Ungar 24.0% 18.8% 17.5% 14.0% 9.7% 8.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matti Muru 13.0% 16.2% 14.0% 14.1% 12.0% 13.0% 8.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 10.5% 11.5% 13.2% 15.1% 13.1% 9.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen Young 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 7.1% 12.0% 19.2% 23.8% 26.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.8% 8.0% 6.8% 8.6% 8.1% 11.7% 14.4% 17.8% 11.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 16.0% 14.2% 14.3% 12.0% 12.6% 11.0% 9.9% 6.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 10.4% 13.7% 13.7% 12.9% 13.2% 11.9% 13.0% 7.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Tong 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 7.9% 10.3% 11.9% 12.9% 18.9% 16.4% 5.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
John Colby 0.7% 0.4% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 3.2% 5.9% 13.6% 23.7% 22.0% 22.1% 0.0%
Alec Gonzalez 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 6.9% 12.7% 20.3% 25.0% 24.7% 0.0%
Quinn Donohue 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 4.5% 15.7% 19.9% 23.2% 25.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.