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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.85+3.25vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.01+1.95vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.68+3.99vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.88vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65-0.35vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65-1.35vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.68vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.33+1.04vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-1.06+1.51vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.56vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.07-0.44vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-7.83vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.01-3.45vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.05-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Queen's University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.95Washington College2.010.2%1st Place
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6.99Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.88Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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4.65Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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9.04University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.51Webb Institute-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.44SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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10.56Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.17Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.55Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.69Princeton University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Muru | 14.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 16.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 23.2% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Gonzalez | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Young | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Donohue | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.