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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.86vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.52vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+4.53vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.18vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+4.23vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38+6.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.08+5.07vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+0.34vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.23vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.73-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-1.73vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-2.94vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.12vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-8.10vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.37-9.00vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.37-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.52George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.23Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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12.11Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.78Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.34Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.75Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.06Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.32SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.96Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 22.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.