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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.87vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.46vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+7.48vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+2.35vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.86vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.73+3.62vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51-0.78vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90+0.16vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.13vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.32vs Predicted
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13Hampton University3.02-3.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.50vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.08-1.87vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-6.68vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-4.81vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.37-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.35George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.77Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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12.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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8.68SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.2Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.32Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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12.19Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.89Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| William Crary | 5.8% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Max Thompson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 22.7% |
| John Hanna | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.