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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.52+6.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+5.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+7.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.37+7.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.63vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.87vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02+1.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-1.65vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.73+0.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.35vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-1.08vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-5.02vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.79vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.75vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-9.06vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.9Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.24Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.35George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.92Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.51SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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11.92Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.98Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| William Crary | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% |
| John Hanna | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.