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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+9.32vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+5.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.39vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+2.62vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.27vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.87vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.46vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.73+1.92vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-0.10vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.93-0.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-4.16vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.37-0.82vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-3.83vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.50vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.37-7.83vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.08-3.47vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-10.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.73Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.87Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.46Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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10.92Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.9Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.21Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.18Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.5SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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13.53University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| John Hanna | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Max Thompson | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 25.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.