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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.83vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.73+9.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.97vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.42vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.44vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.29vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+1.14vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.82+0.79vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08+1.70vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.25vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.37-1.94vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-6.93vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-8.39vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.93-6.86vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-10.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.11Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.44Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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12.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.4Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.75Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.75Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.06Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.43George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| John Hanna | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Max Thompson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 29.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 15.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.