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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.65vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+7.37vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+5.36vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+5.77vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90+4.17vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+3.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.03vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.51-1.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-1.58vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.24vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.13vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.37-0.77vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.07vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University3.43-7.23vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-6.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-10.03vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.65Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.37Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.36Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.42College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.23Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.77Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.66Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Will Holz | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| John Hanna | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Max Thompson | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.