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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.64vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.55vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.50vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.82+6.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.77vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+1.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.73+3.65vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-0.87vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.19vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38+2.35vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-3.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.00vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.38vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.16vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-6.61vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.37-4.74vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.55George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.09Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.65Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.19Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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12.35Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.39Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.26Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Will Holz | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Hanna | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.9% |
| Max Thompson | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.