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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.33vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+5.51vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.08+5.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-1.22vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-0.39vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-1.71vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.37-1.07vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.27vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.81vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-8.71vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.93-7.09vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.38-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.53George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.33SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.61Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.4Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.93Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.19Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.29Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.92Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Max Thompson | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 23.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.