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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.86vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.19vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.38vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.73+3.64vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+1.63vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.03vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.37+2.40vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.38+1.16vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-3.27vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-4.96vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.08-1.88vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-5.68vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.37-9.00vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-10.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.38SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.63Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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12.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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12.4Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.16Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.62Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.04Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.12University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 14.8% |
| John Hanna | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| William Crary | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Max Thompson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 22.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.