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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.62vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+4.03vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+2.61vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.49vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51-0.51vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.37+3.35vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-0.11vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.73-0.02vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.08+0.24vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.69vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-5.87vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-8.79vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.62Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.49Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.85Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.35Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.89Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.45Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.31SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.44Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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12.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Max Thompson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 24.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.