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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+8.28vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.74vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+3.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+2.13vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.19vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+0.59vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.10vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.38vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-1.52vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.73-2.31vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-6.64vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.37-2.71vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-5.49vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.38vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.28Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.77Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.59Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.9SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.36George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.29Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.51Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.62Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| John Hanna | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 14.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Will Holz | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Thompson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.