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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.90+7.41vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.42vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+2.59vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43+1.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.05vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51-0.56vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+1.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.73+1.14vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-2.74vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.10vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.85vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.79vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-5.48vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.37-4.48vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.79Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.87Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.03Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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8.48SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.52Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.52Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Will Holz | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| John Hanna | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.8% |
| Max Thompson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.