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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+7.72vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+9.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.34+5.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00+12.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.28+3.96vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont4.60+1.68vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-0.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.47+4.38vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10+0.71vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.85-3.58vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University5.19-5.82vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.87+2.93vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.74-1.80vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.33-5.37vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-4.52vs Predicted
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17Washington College4.25-7.17vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston4.76-10.22vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.64-6.40vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College4.15-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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17.92Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.96Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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13.38Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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15.93University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.83Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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12.6Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.53SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Vann | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 55.4% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 5.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 22.1% | 22.9% |
| Britton Steele | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Blouin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Juan Maegli | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.