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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+5.49vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+7.07vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+7.87vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.81vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.21vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49-0.66vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.37+3.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08+1.50vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-3.88vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-4.14vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.70vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.92vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.37-8.92vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.73-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.87Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.34George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.11Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.4Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.12Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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9.86Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.3SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Max Thompson | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 26.0% |
| John Hanna | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.