← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.51+6.58vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.62vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University3.49+4.56vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.93+5.67vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University3.52+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.37+5.12vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38+3.96vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.37-1.20vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.73+0.91vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.66vs Predicted
-
12Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.38vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University3.02-3.82vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.90-4.40vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.03vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-8.11vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.82-6.65vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami2.08-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.58Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.62SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.56George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.67Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.59U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.21Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
12.12Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
-
11.96Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.8College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.91Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.62Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
-
9.18Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.6University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
11.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.35Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.03University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| John Hanna | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| William Crary | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Max Thompson | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.